I would suggest that people not underestimate how effective the chart was based on this finding alone, because the popularity of this chart itself is strong evidence of how important the message was and how critical it is for scientists to send the right message out about something like this, she says. The notion that the curve of this outbreak could be flattened began to gain credence after China took the extraordinary step of locking down tens of millions of people days in advance of the Lunar New Year, to prevent the virus from spreading around the country from Wuhan, the city where the outbreak appears to have started. Some simple math offers alarming answers, U.S. communities are braced for coronavirus outbreaks. Sign up for notifications from Insider! Although we didnt see a difference in peoples ideas or behavioral intentions based on their awareness of the chart, the message is still beneficial because theres some evidence that it allowed people to form a more informed decision without relying on trust.. A roundup of STAT's top stories of the day. We are all wondering if our actions are melodramatic. Helen Branswell covers issues broadly related to infectious diseases, including outbreaks, preparedness, research, and vaccine development. The degree to which we have allowed the government to unilaterally bring our economy and lives to a halt without due process and input from the general public is unacceptable. Numbers: Has NYC started flattening the curve When Governments Switched Their Story from Flatten the Hospitals in the north of the country, which the virus first took root, are filled beyond capacity, he said, and may soon face the nightmarish dilemma of having to decide who to try to save. What has happened to this country? But it increasingly seems that such a scenario is wishful thinking. They definitely don't want grandma to die. Digital Millennium Copyright Act Notice Again, weve seen that increases in coronavirus infections have, in fact, strained intensive care units since the pandemic began. That is what the curve represents. Needless to say, such a situation is unlikely to happen any time thats soon enough to save Hawaii from an economic implosion. "At the end of the 15 day period, we will make a decision as to which way we want to go.". Some public-health experts say enforcing social distancing for the next week won't be enough to "flatten the curve" in other words, to slow the rate at which people get infected so hospitals aren't overwhelmed. "This is where technology really begins to take us forward in leaps and bounds.". Tags: Not wanting to be left out,President Bidenalso spoke up, once again falsely claiming that we are in a pandemic of the unvaccinated and telling vaccinated people that there is nothing to worry about despite the recent surge in hospitalizations among the vaccinated population. "The thing we were worried about was going to kill a giant portion of our population A half a million Americans have died with COVID, and yeah, it's a tragedy, but what is more of a tragedy is that there is not an emphasis on keeping people healthy. Wen, who is also anemergencyphysicianand public health professor at George Washington University, noted it wasn't just politicians, but also scientists, who didn't understand how to fight the virus. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox. Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories, The Trump administration has released a 15-day plan to, The plan involves asking healthy Americans to avoiding social gatherings and. "If we can get all of America to pitch in for the next 15 days, we can flatten the curve. - Dr. Jerome Adams, U.S. This is the strategy., He declared that worst enemies of democracy are lies and stupidity, then declared that his government is putting pressure on the unvaccinated by limiting, as much as possible, their access to activities in social life.. Even as states across the country continue to close schools, force citizens to wear masks and fire people for refusing the jab, the U.S. set a record for the highest daily case count in the entire world at 1 million. Listen to this divisive rhetoric. Hard-left activist Matthew Yglesias, for example,complainedthis week that flattening the curve isnt good enough.. Best Debt Consolidation Loans for Bad Credit, Personal Loans for 580 Credit Score or Lower, Personal Loans for 670 Credit Score or Lower. The emphasis is only on social distance, wear three masks, and wait for a vaccine." In fact, top U.S. health officials were urging Americans not to buy masks at the end of February in a bid to preserve supply for health-care providers. In February of 2020, The Economist printed a modified version of the chart showing the delay in peak infections and the lowering of the peak. Exclusive analysis of biotech, pharma, and the life sciences, For many countries staring down fast-rising coronavirus case counts, the race is on to flatten the curve.. On March 16, 2020, the Trump administration released a 15 Their analysis, posted on a preprint server in advance of peer review, came to a chilling conclusion. Over the last two years, one of the largest power grabs in the history of the world has taken place as fearful citizens willingly surrendered their rights to the state for the promise of safety. Canadian PM Trudeau followed suit the following day and told the citizens of Canada that they need to be angry at the unvaccinated for spreading covid, using his pulpit to dehumanize and threaten people for their personal medical choices. 14 DAYS TO FLATTEN THE CURVE - Jared Pilon https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-march-15-31-2020-critical-time-contain-covid-19-us-khvatkov/, We went from almost no lockdowns to daily lockdowns: The mental health crisis inside California womens prisons. One Year After Two Weeks to Flatten the Curve In the early days of the COVID-19 panicback in mid-Marcharticles began to appear pushing the idea of flattening the curve (theWashington Postran an article called Flatten the Curve on March 14). Instead, he lied and lost the trust of half the country. COVID On Sunday, the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, James Bullard, told Bloomberg that the US unemployment rate could surge to 30% in the coming months. Then in June, the World Health Organization released a statement saying "[a]symptomatic spread of COVID-19 is 'very rare.'" Even if you are young and otherwise healthy, you are at riskand your activities can increase the risk of contracting the Coronavirus for others. as well as other partner offers and accept our. Subscribe now to get breaking news from President Trump before anyone else. Dot corresponds to most recent day. "There were two key elements in our scientific knowledge that we didn't fully understand. He projects that 480, 000 people will die in the coming months. How are people supposed to find work if this goes on in some form for a year and a half? The guidance failed to acknowledge that people who don't have symptoms can spread the virus and didn't say anything about wearing masks. Stay up to date with what you want to know. This suggests that the flatten-the-curve message might have armed them with the knowledge they needed to draw their own conclusions about social distancing measures without needing to rely as strongly on trusting experts. Americans should continue practicing strict personal hygiene, including washing hands regularly for at least 20 seconds at a time and wiping down surfaces in the home often. President Donald Trump embraced Scott Atlas, a neuroradiologist who promoted widespread infection in Fox News interviews. But we were right that flooding hospitals with preventable illness was not helpful. The preferred political solution lies in both continuing to encourage social distancing and in prohibiting larger gatherings. Surgeon General (March 2020) On March 16, 2020, one year ago today, President Donald Trump announced a fifteen-day effort to "slow the spread" of COVID-19. Clearly we can no longer rely on them to make decisions which benefit freedom and liberty. Despite experts, world wide, weighing in on the harms of school closures and masking children, bureaucrats across the country are beating that dead horse. When asked who they trusted, people ranked medical professionals ahead of other scientists and the CDC. Despite the economically devastating draconian lockdowns that killedcountless small businesses, vaccine passports, and mask mandates, COVID-19 returned with a vengeance. On April 9, the Hawaii Department of Educationannouncedthat all public schools are expected to stay shut until COVID-19 is no longer spreading in the community, defined as four weeks with no new cases.. Its time to talk about flattening the curve again Who knows, maybe it will save a lot of lives.. Contact Us, Watch: Angry Parents Slam School Board for Sexually Grooming Students with Family Friendly Drag Shows, Reporter Trolls School Board By Dressing Like Trans Teacher With Colossal Prosthetic Breasts, Breaking! But that safety never came and it never will. The emergency declaration will give healthcare providers on the front lines of this pandemic the flexibility they need to respond. And South Korea, which has had the third largest outbreak outside of China, also appears to be beating back transmission through aggressive actions. WebFederal guidelines advise that states wait until they experience a downward trajectory of documented cases within a 14-day period before proceeding to a phased opening. "There was so much we didn't know about this disease at the time," Wen said. Let Big Tech and the corporate media know they are powerless in stopping the spread of truth by visiting our store now! Ending the Pandemic: Exponential Growth and Decay But other places, notably Italy and Iran, are struggling. 700 Days Into 14 Days To Flatten The Curve And The Only Thenewnarrative was this: the death toll will simply be too gruesome and unbearable to allow people to continue on with some semblance of an ordinary life. Has the Philippines really flattened the curve We installed plexiglass between ourselves and anyone else we met. ", "I think one of the biggest regrets that I have is that we didn't have the testing that we needed to have," Barbot said. What history revealed about cities that socially distanced during a Even if the rate of hospitalization is significantly lower than previous variants (for which there is some evidence), a small percentage of a big number can be a big number. That they now portray to affirm what they have been saying all along is the pinnacle of cowardish babble. Checkout the memes below. Last week, the number of coronavirus cases in the US jumped more than 40% in just 24 hours. "Seriously people STOP BUYING MASKS!" "As soon as you can reliably test in a number of locations, you begin to get data that helps you decide the next step," Amler told Business Insider. Since then, the country has reported 34,121,168 cases, and 150,720 deaths. The truth is we have no choice. Tied to a compelling, simple chart of infections over time with and without interventions, the message encouraged people to socially distance to delay and reduce the peak of infections, preventing hospitals from becoming overwhelmed. This will be the detriment of many already dead and countless more that will die from this virus (particularly in a contintent like Africa). Dr. Anthony Fauci defended the federal government's first-year Covid policies during an interview Tuesday afternoon on FOX News. Now, after their policies have failed, they need someone to blame. A massive, unprecedented nationwide response. Why not use the Chinese approach: from peak to zero infections in 6 weeks! The idea was to limit the daily rise of those in need of treatment to within the healthcare capacity. The virus does not seem lethal in most cases if proper medical oversight is given. A year later, Trumps 15 days to slow the spread - CNBC While a vaccine and treatments are developed, strong actions must be taken. Predictably, they have ramped up the scapegoating of the unvaccinated. The purpose and intent of this is anchoring higher light and activating the Ascension Timeline on Earth now. I know I speak on behalf of the President and our entire team when I say how grateful we are for governors all across the country and the seamless partnership that we have forged with them and with state health officials, Vice President Mike Pence said yesterday. Surgeon General (March 2020). CDC / The Economist / Drew Harris / Nan Li, Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, one message became ubiquitous: flatten the curve.. No higher priority than the health of the American people, Listen to and follow the directions of your. Though public-health officials view social distancing as a necessary measure to contain the outbreak, work-from-home and no-travel rules are already having a profound effect on the national economy. There is very little we can do to prevent this spread: a lockdown might delay severe cases for a while, but once restrictions are eased, cases will reappear. Biden then went on to encourage children to stay away from the unvaccinated, further stoking hatred, fear, and divide. 2022 NewsWars This article was published more than1 year ago. But even as testing capacity has improved in the last week, hospitals have faced a shortage of swabs needed to perform tests particularly in states like Missouri, Michigan, Ohio, and Washington. Until then, only minimal essential activities will be allowed. When the pandemic began, no one knew anything. A website maintained by Johns Hopkins University which is considered the go-to website for Covid-19 statistics scrapes data from a variety of sources. After all, as unemployment numbers skyrocketed andstate and local government budgets cratered, lockdown until vaccine didnt seem like such a viable strategy anymore. In other words, the containment strategy favored by Fauci and Emanuel is dead (for now). Not surprisingly, it is inspiring to see the way tens of millions of Americans are responding with compassion [and] with common sense., Kay Coles James: President Trumps declaration helps mobilize our nation, ? One was the degree of asymptomatic transmission, and two was the aerosols, how this is not just transmitted through people sneezing and coughing.". Together, these setbacks could lengthen the amount of time that Americans are told to stay at home. Yet a year later, less than ten percent of the U.S. population has reported contracting the virus (29.5 million cases in a population of 328 million), while roughly half a million (0.16%) have lost their lives. Any delay means more people will die. communications, covid-19, health, Feedback or questions? #coronavirus #disruption #innovation. From the start of the pandemic, no one has been willing to admit what they don't know and as a result, so-called experts have just assumed the worst with devastating consequences for our economy and individual liberties. Flattening the curve could take at least several more weeks. These facts have led me to the following conclusions. It made sense, particularly in those first few weeks when we didnt know how bad things would get. But covid-19 is more preventable than other medical issues that might spur the need to be admitted to the ICU particularly with vaccines available that greatly reduce the chance of serious illness. Enter your email to receive notifications of new posts. Youll experience severe illness in many cases.. She added that failings by the federal government to prioritize the testing of large parts of the population was one of the earliest missteps. Serology testing is now supporting these assumptions. We submitted to weird forehead zaps to check our temperature. ", Dr. Deborah Birx, who served as the White House Covid-19 Task Force coordinator under Trump, offered a glimpse last week into the early confusion over the science. And in 2020 it is by far not as isolating due to the internet, cell phones, social and other media. Most in the deaths have been in the Seattle area. Individuals were told that this was their "World War II" and the most patriotic thing they could do is sit at home and watch Netflix. Also in June, TFTP covered the findings of anMIT scientist who reporteda data analysis of the economic impact of the lockdown noting that whilst it played a key contributing role to the sharp rise of unemployment, it did not make a significant reduction in deaths.

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